Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.002436 0.002582 0.002737 0.002916 0.003118 0.003341 0.003607
2025-04-06 0.002169 0.002358 0.002572 0.002832 0.003147 0.003521 0.004012
2025-04-13 0.002005 0.002221 0.002474 0.002796 0.003208 0.003730 0.004475
2025-04-20 0.001824 0.002043 0.002303 0.002646 0.003097 0.003696 0.004601
2025-04-27 0.001744 0.001976 0.002259 0.002643 0.003169 0.003905 0.005104
2025-05-04 0.001705 0.001956 0.002269 0.002707 0.003334 0.004264 0.005929
2025-05-11 0.001647 0.001906 0.002235 0.002705 0.003401 0.004486 0.006588
2025-05-18 0.001625 0.001899 0.002255 0.002779 0.003588 0.004931 0.007845
2025-05-25 0.001574 0.001850 0.002215 0.002761 0.003628 0.005129 0.008674
2025-06-01 0.001517 0.001791 0.002157 0.002712 0.003610 0.005218 0.009286
2025-06-08 0.001499 0.001783 0.002168 0.002766 0.003770 0.005678 0.011215
2025-06-15 0.001476 0.001767 0.002167 0.002800 0.003897 0.006104 0.013494
2025-06-22 0.001432 0.001722 0.002124 0.002770 0.003915 0.006319 0.015400
2025-06-29 0.001378 0.001661 0.002056 0.002696 0.003844 0.006318 0.016419
2025-07-06 0.001340 0.001621 0.002016 0.002664 0.003850 0.006507 0.018859
2025-07-13 0.001275 0.001542 0.001915 0.002526 0.003639 0.006110 0.017237
2025-07-20 0.001251 0.001518 0.001897 0.002523 0.003693 0.006410 0.020907
2025-07-27 0.001244 0.001519 0.001914 0.002582 0.003875 0.007121 0.031810
2025-08-03 0.001222 0.001498 0.001897 0.002580 0.003932 0.007497 0.044076
2025-08-10 0.001218 0.001502 0.001919 0.002648 0.004150 0.008496 0.123255
2025-08-17 0.001195 0.001478 0.001895 0.002632 0.004176 0.008849 0.374018
2025-08-24 0.001167 0.001445 0.001856 0.002586 0.004131 0.008918 3.178525
2025-08-31 0.001161 0.001445 0.001869 0.002637 0.004318 0.010041 NaN